The 95/5 Rule in Marketing: Why Most of Your Audience Isn’t Ready to Buy (And What to Do About It)
- paulhague
- 16 hours ago
- 4 min read
If you’re a marketer, here’s a humbling truth: at any given moment, the vast majority of people you’re trying to reach aren’t thinking about buying what you sell.
This is the core of the 95/5 rule in marketing, a powerful heuristic that reframes how we think about demand, brand, and budget. It’s a vital wake-up call, reminding us that while we might believe everyone needs our product, in reality, only about 5% are actively in-market to buy right now. The other 95%? They’re not ready—yet.
Where Did the 95/5 Rule Come From?
The rule was formally introduced in 2021 by marketing researcher John Dawes in an article entitled “Advertising effectiveness and the 95-5 rule,” distributed by The B2B Institute (a think-tank backed by LinkedIn). It’s based on a simple average of purchase cycles. For instance, if a B2B service is re-evaluated every five years, roughly 20% of buyers enter the market in a given year. Break that down further, and it becomes about 5% in a quarter.
Crucially, the authors don’t present this as a universal law. It’s a rule of thumb—a lens to understand the timing of demand and the critical balance between long-term brand building and short-term sales activation. The actual ratio fluctuates based on your industry, product type, and purchase frequency.
What This Rule Really Means for Your Strategy
The 95/5 rule isn’t just a statistic; it’s a strategic directive with several key implications:
Your Audience is Mostly "Future Buyers": Most people who see your ad or content today aren’t shopping. They’re in learning, browsing, or completely unaware mode.
Brand Building is Non-Negotiable: When the 95% eventually enter their buying window—which could be months or years from now—they’ll gravitate toward the brands they recognize, remember, and trust. Your top-of-funnel work today builds that memory.
Performance Ads Alone Are Insufficient: If you only target the active 5%, you’re ignoring nearly all of your future potential. You’re fishing in a very small pond.
You Need a Dual Strategy: Long-term demand creation (brand, memory, mental availability) must work in tandem with short-term demand capture (performance ads, promotions).
How to Apply the 95/5 Rule: B2B vs. B2C
While the principle is universal, its application differs between B2B and B2C contexts.
B2B Application: Playing the Long Game
In B2B, sales cycles are long (often 3-18+ months), decisions involve committees, and a company may only need your solution once every few years. The 95/5 rule is especially critical here.
What it means: Only a tiny fraction of your total addressable market is actively searching for a solution like yours right now. The rest will enter the market later, and brand memory will heavily influence their consideration set.
How B2B companies apply it:
Heavy Investment in Brand-Building: Building familiarity before demand exists.
Example: LinkedIn thought leadership campaigns, category-defining content ("The Future of Work"), and consistent visual/verbal brand identity.
Nurturing the 95% with Broad-Reach Content: Creating memory structures, not immediate leads.
Example: Industry podcasts, educational webinars, insightful whitepapers, and high-level research reports.
Capturing the 5% with Precision: Targeting those signaling active intent.
Example: Google Search Ads for solution keywords, detailed comparison pages ("X vs. Y"), and product demo sign-ups.
B2B Examples:
HubSpot: Built the "Inbound Marketing" category (brand) while capturing active searchers with CRM demos and search ads (activation).
Salesforce: Hosts the massive Dreamforce event for broad reach (brand) and uses targeted sales outreach for in-market accounts (activation).
B2C Application: Winning the Moment of Need
B2C buying cycles are shorter, but the rule still holds: only 5% of people are shopping for a mattress, a car, or insurance today. Brand matters because when that need arises, people choose what they recall.
What it means: Your marketing must stay top-of-mind during long consideration periods so you’re the first brand remembered when the need strikes.
How B2C companies apply it:
Mass Brand Advertising for Memory: Creating emotional connections at scale.
Example: TV ads, TikTok/YouTube storytelling, and large out-of-home campaigns.
Light but Persistent Performance Marketing: Scooping up the ready-to-buy segment.
Example: Google Shopping ads, retargeting banners, and "near me" search ads.
Strong, Distinctive Brand Codes: Making recall effortless.
Example: The Geico gecko, Coca-Cola red, or McDonald's golden arches are visual shortcuts that keep the brand accessible in memory.
B2C Examples:
Geico: Uses the ubiquitous Gecko and humorous TV ads (brand) paired with aggressive search ads and quote tools for shoppers ready to switch (activation).
Apple: "Shot on iPhone" campaigns celebrate lifestyle and creativity (brand), while product launch events and store promotions convert immediate demand (activation).
At a Glance: The 95/5 Rule in Action
Aspect | B2B Focus | B2C Focus |
Buying Cycle | Long (Months to Years) | Medium to Short |
Why 95/5 Matters | Very few are in-market at any one time | Still, very few are in-market at any one time |
Brand Focus | Thought Leadership, Category Creation | Emotional & Visual Brand Building |
Activation Focus | Demos, Intent-Based Search, Retargeting | Coupons, "Near Me" Search, Retargeting |
Success Measure | Pipeline Growth + Long-Term Market Awareness | Market Share + Brand Recall & Salience |
The Bottom Line
The 95/5 rule frees marketers from the tyranny of the immediate conversion. It validates investing in the future. By balancing your efforts—building brand for the 95% who will buy later, while efficiently capturing the 5% buying now—you create a sustainable growth engine that drives both tomorrow’s revenue and today’s.
Are you over-investing in the bottom of the funnel while your future customers forget your name? The 95/5 rule suggests it’s time to rebalance.